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Old 1st December 2013, 04:37 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
Default The efficient market place

IMHO, overall, horses win in the order they are in betting. The fav wins 30% of the time right down to the outsiders which win the least amount of the time. We lose the least amount of money backing the fav's (esp odds on), and take the worst odds when we back horses at 50 / 1 as their real odds should be 500 / 1, if you care to look at the stats. It's a waste of time, esp in the metrop area, trying to define a system to win on the favs. Firstly, the metro betting is an efficient marketplace, and to sway the odds in your favour on the fav so that you can win, given the huge amount of money on the fav, there would have to be a massive imbalance between the odds of the fav and it's chances of winning. This is supposedly overcome by ratings, they find those that are overs, and those that are unders, but all they really contribute too is adding to the imbalance of this efficient marketplace.

There are ways to put the odds in your favour, but you need to change your thinking. You need to do what the others aren't doing. Also why stick to the metro arena when the country offers overs on many horses due to several reasons, some of which I may post later on.
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