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20th April 2013, 09:44 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Perhaps you should look at it based on the law of averages. If a jockey usually runs at 5% and is running now at 1% then he should be backed not layed as his strike rate will return to 5% longer term.
And the reverse is true lay jockeys which have a much higher strike rate (double) then the longer term (350 races) average.
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Well UB, that might be all well and good if she was a "USUAL" jockey, but if after 485 races she has only won 7, then I think you're forever the optimist!
Cheers RP
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