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-   -   the meadows (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22038)

moeee 9th July 2011 12:40 PM

the meadows
 
race 8

6 ALLEN LENNOX $3
4 DYNA MORRIS $5
2 BIG STUD $8.7
5 DYNA BARB $9
3 MOJITO $9.7
1 SHUNTED $9.7
8 MACALEA BALE $25

i can't work this race out at all.
i will take the 3 highest priced animals , bar the pink , in a $1 box quinella

moeee 9th July 2011 01:35 PM

race 6

1 NAPOLEON TIGER $4
3 CATCH UP SUNDAY $7
5 GAME HUNTER $7.8
4 STOKED $8
7 MIDNIGHT LAMP $8.8
6 DAINTREE JEWEL $10.7
8 PENSKI ILLUSION $10.7
2 JUSTIN BALE $16

another extremely difficult race
treat similar to race 8 , except bar none.

moeee 9th July 2011 02:46 PM

race 7

7 ZIPPSTAR $3.2
5 BUDGIE LASS $5.4
3 DYNAMIC VIEW $7.4
6 MISS ROMAN NOSE $9
1 KID CUDI $10
2 KILRUSH $15
4 HAFREN BALE $20
8 RIDDLE BALE $25

Tough night.
BIG Quaddie.

woof43 9th July 2011 03:02 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
race 8

6 ALLEN LENNOX $3
4 DYNA MORRIS $5
2 BIG STUD $8.7
5 DYNA BARB $9
3 MOJITO $9.7
1 SHUNTED $9.7
8 MACALEA BALE $25

i can't work this race out at all.
i will take the 3 highest priced animals , bar the pink , in a $1 box quinella

1 5.138
2 5.209
3 5.205
4 5.182
5 5.183
6 5.144
scr
8 5.229
an even bunch of dogs early with the exception of the #8 and a lessor degree the #4.
I'm thinking the inside two dogs will own the turn, #2 runs runs centre track, #4 is running well , just needs a little luck around the first turn, #6 is too short at the moment, performs better spk, should lengthen at post time.

woof43 9th July 2011 03:47 PM

Meadows Race 3
 
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $8.46 4
2 $4.38 2
3 $2,000.00 8
4 $1,000.00 7
5 $112.99 5
6 $4.78 3
7 $175.44 6
8 $2.33 1
#1 has come up short on the expectation that it will race well from inside, its too short for how its performed up to date. #8 is the query dog but i'd expect to to show up for a long way.
I'm leaning towards the #6 just needs a clean balanced run thru the 1st turn to show up in this type of event.
#2 is well drawn and will be close to the lead is a little short on the fixed odds at this stage

moeee 9th July 2011 03:52 PM

RACE 5

4 REV LIMITER $3.5
8 RYKER BALE $4.5
1 HAMEL $5
3 BITTEN $9
2 ELLA PATCHE $12
7 AVERY BALE $20
6 PROVEN PONTIAC $25
5 TONTO JOHN $50

Starting to find some races where the field can be sorted into genuine chances.
Top 3 should find the winner.

woof43 9th July 2011 04:37 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
RACE 5

4 REV LIMITER $3.5
8 RYKER BALE $4.5
1 HAMEL $5
3 BITTEN $9
2 ELLA PATCHE $12
7 AVERY BALE $20
6 PROVEN PONTIAC $25
5 TONTO JOHN $50

Starting to find some races where the field can be sorted into genuine chances.
Top 3 should find the winner.

1 5.168
2 5.297
3 5.186
4 5.156
5 5.146
6 5.187
7 5.088
8 5.096
Moeee I thought the #8 was poorly drawn and might cause some trouble out wide, I think the #3 will lead, and the #4 will have a good go at it at the finish, #1 has been racing in fair form but not right at its best for the 2nd sectionals for mine I like the #4 as well, but you need the current odds, #3 and #2 who races well at the extremes of box draw.

moeee 9th July 2011 05:22 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
1 5.168
2 5.297
3 5.186
4 5.156
5 5.146
6 5.187
7 5.088
8 5.096
Moeee I thought the #8 was poorly drawn and might cause some trouble out wide


You made me go through all its latest replays , and I found nothing.

How is it poorly drawn?
And what possible trouble did you foresee?

I see it as leading safely , if not clearly.
I have #3 as having zero chance of leading Hamel from Box 1.

moeee 9th July 2011 05:29 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43

1 5.168
2 5.297
3 5.186

Moeee I think the #3 will lead


How do your figures support your summary?
#3 can't possibly lead the #1 on those figures.

You do this sort of thing all the time Woof43.
If you can't post figures that support your studies, don't bother posting the figures and stick with just the summary.
Because your summary makes your figures meaningless and simply useless.

woof43 9th July 2011 05:39 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
You made me go through all its latest replays , and I found nothing.

How is it poorly drawn?
And what possible trouble did you foresee?

I see it as leading safely , if not clearly.
I have #3 as having zero chance of leading Hamel from Box 1.


It has never led from the box 8 after at least a half dozen goes, considering its led 18 times LTD and 15 times its been 2nd early considering its the 2nd best box on most tracks and the dog is clearly a good beginner, to me that raises some questions marks, I could tell you its times are slower the wider it starts off the track , even in stewards reports the dog scores a range of C4 to C11 for interference in those starts again consider it a good beginner and good beginners suffer less interference .


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