#11
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![]() Like all these ratings they run hot and cold. I made heaps Laying the Unitab 100 rated horse for the first 3 weeks of March, but now it's unbeatable in selecting winners. Similarly I Layed Skyforrm top tipped horses yesterday for a $443 nett profit but today -$254 loss. Again I Layed Skyform 100 rated horses yesterday for -$254 loss, but today $394 nett profit. All based on $100 liability.
That's the nature of horse racing, I suppose. Cheers RP |
#12
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![]() Hi, RP.
Have you looked at any any filters? Today there were 9 selections for 3 winners paying a total of $10.50, and 5 placegetters for a retrurn of $7.20. However, if I had omitted Rocky 4/1 and Geelong 3/3 (unplaced at last start) then there would have been 7 selections for 2 winners paying $8.60 and 4 placegetters for a return of $6.10. |
#13
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![]() Hi Rinconpaul
When you lay the Unitab 100 or Skyform Best Overall ( I assume these are your top tipped ) do you lay all selections for every race on the day? How do you decide which ones to lay ( without giving too much of your method away )? I don't follow Unitab ratings too closely these days but I know if it is top rated and 7 points clear of the next horse they win a ******** of a lot of races. If you got 2 or 3 of those on any day you would struggle to profit. Likewise, with Skyform, if the Best Overall is top pick of 5-6 panels they don't lose too often and would erode profits if grouped in any particular day. I suppose a grouping of these on a days race card would help decide when to lay or sit out.
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“Everyone’s got a plan. Until they get hit”. -Mike Tyson |
#14
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![]() Quote:
Mate, if it moves, got four legs and and a computer or tipster says it's going to Win, then I'm Laying it to Lose! What the ******** are you doing Backing horses anyway?lol..... Cheers RP |
#15
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![]() Quote:
No RR, the Skyform top tipped horse is the horse selected to win by the resident tipster. Go to Tips on the Sky website. I have a filter of never laying odds on selections. I lay 2-3 horses in each race, min of 2, the 100 rated Unitab, the 100 Skyform and the Tipsters pick. If 2 are the same selection, that's Ok but if all 3 are the same, skip race. This often provides two selections < $5 and both don't win, meaning a Twin lay win. The final filter, that I gleaned from the venerable Baghwan, is once you reach your target profit, STOP betting!!! I was out in my 1st race in NZ, Race 4, no's 1 & 4 Laying two up. I liked Baghwan's disciplined approach of not being greedy and stake your bets to achieve you target profit in a max of 3 successful selections. A lot less stress! All the best, RP |
#16
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![]() Quote:
Hi Riconpaul, I think it might pay to lay the fav in maidens if it's tipped by Sky and Tatts as they seem to be generally WAY over bet. I like your idea of not laying odds-on, it's better for the sanity and strike rate.
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The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#17
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![]() Quote:
If all goes well I'm usually done & dusted by the time the early maiden races are completed. RP |
#18
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![]() Thanks for the explanation RCP. I thought you were using Skyform ratings like Michaelg... and the Unitab 100 ratings. With the filters as you've outlined you are limiting your risk. All the best to you.
__________________
“Everyone’s got a plan. Until they get hit”. -Mike Tyson |
#19
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![]() Geelong
1-4 3rd ($3.18) ntd 2-2 2nd ($1.34) 3-3 won ($1.83) P/L + 1.04 (There goes the theory on not laying odds on)
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#20
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![]() Hi, RP.
Yes, it's unusual or me to bet and not lay. However I'm interested in both if profitable, and it's also can be fun. Today's selections: Cranbourne 1/5 4/2 5/1 6/1 Ipswich 4/1 Kyneton 2/11 4/9 Canberra 2/3 3/1 Darwin 4/1 There are 2 horses today that have 100 points but are not in the top two Best Overall rankings. They are: Scone 4/4 Canberra 5/6 |
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