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#1
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![]() Hey guys,
here are the plays today for my 75% thing on my ratings that was discussed in the other thread. Note i'm just testing these and while I might be on some, i won't be betting on all. Ill post my top 2 raters for each race and any with YES written to them are plays. Caulfield - Race 1 No. 5 A Time For Julia 1 Villa Splendido YES Caulfield - Race 4 No. 3 Cameo 12 Summerbliss YES Caulfield - Race 5 No. 4 Galah 5 King's Rose YES Caulfield - Race 7 No. 5 Lightinthenite YES 12 Waterford Hill Randwick - Race 2 No. 2 Magita YES 9 Secluded Randwick - Race 3 No. 9 Moriarty 8 Merlin Mustang YES Randwick - Race 4 No. 7 Snitsky 4 Upshot YES Randwick - Race 5 No. 5 Jolie Bay YES 4 Ichihara YES Eagle Farm - Race 7 No. 6 Transporter YES 2 Grey Assignment YES Eagle Farm - Race 8 No. 11 Memorable Moment YES 14 Rodrigeuz Morphettville - Race 3 No. 7 Le Roi YES 2 Ring Me Not Ascot - Race 2 No. 2 Modello YES 4 Flag Officer YES Ascot - Race 5 No. 3 Global Flirt YES 1 Ten Degrees Ascot - Race 6 No. 5 Travinator YES 7 Watermans Bay YES Ascot - Race 8 No. 2 Texan YES 13 Kerrific Ascot - Race 9 No. 5 Iseethingsyoudon't YES 13 Jaja Saab |
#2
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![]() Are the YES ones the top raters ? ie what makes one selection a play out of the two ?
Thanks for posting these. Will be interesting to see how they go. |
#3
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![]() BTW off to a great start with Caulfield Race 1. Winner and 4th.
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#4
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![]() forgot to add this earlier:
Morphettville - Race 5 No. 8 Classy Chloe YES 4 The Eighth Maker |
#5
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![]() The selections have so far mostly been putting in a very good effort in most races. There has been 6 winners from 10 races so far.
Unfortunately the odds haven't been too great ![]() |
#6
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![]() had quite a few 2nds as well i think, i'll have to go back and check over them all carefully though.
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#7
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![]() At the start of this thread, you said that the idea of 75% plays was first discussed in another thread.
evajb could you please supply tthe link where the notion of 75% plays was first introduced. Thanking you and thanks for supplying your selections. |
#8
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![]() I can't remember what thread it was now but I can explain quickly.
Basically I do my ratings by applying a score to each horse, and using the scores I estimate my odds for each horse. Once i've got these odds I sort to find my top rated horse, 2nd rated and so on. If the odds of my top rated horse are less than 75% of the 2nd rated horse, then its a play. If the 2nd rated horse is less than 75% of the 3rd rated horses odds, then the top 2 raters are a play. I hope that makes sense, if not I can provide examples. |
#9
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![]() Quote:
Its in the Quadrella thread but I can't remember the exact post. |
#10
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![]() It's in the following thread:
http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ead.php?t=25273 It starts off by looking at laying my bottom 3 rated horses but moves into a discussion of 75% plays. |
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