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Old 3rd January 2007, 01:38 PM
AssumeTheCrown AssumeTheCrown is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Gippsland, Victoria
Posts: 223
Default SUPERBOWL PREDICTIONS

The power ratings have been used to simulate all possible outcomes for the playoffs and the following predictions have been derived -



To win AFC

San Diego 32%
New England 26%
Baltimore 25%
Indianapolis 10%
NYJ 4%
Kansas City 3%


To win NFC

Chicago 59%
New Orleans 16%
Dallas 11%
Philadelphia 7%
Seattle 4%
NYG 3%



To win SUPERBOWL (break even odds in brackets)

Chicago 34.6% ($2.90)
New England 15.7% ($6.40)
San Diego 15.4% ($6.50)
Baltimore 11.6% ($8.70)
New Orleans 5.9% ($17.0)
Dallas 5.1% ($20.0)
Indianapolis 4.2% ($24.0)
Philadelphia 2.4% ($42.0)
NYJ 1.7% ($59.0)
Seatle 1.4% ($72.0)
Kansas City 1.0% ($100.0)
NYG 1.0% ($100.0)


Betfair odds (% overlay in brackets)

Chicago 6.6 (+128%)
New England 11.5 (+80%)
San Diego 3.6 (-45%)
Baltimore 6.2 (-29%)
New Orleans 10.5 (-38%)
Dallas 36.0 (+80%)
Indianapolis 12.0 (-50%)
Philadelphia 18.0 (-57%)
NYJ 60.0 (+2%)
Seattle 36.0 (-50%)
Kansas City 55.0 (-45%)
NYG 75.0 (-25%)

SO Recommended bets are - Chicago, New England and Dallas
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