![Old](images/statusicon/post_old.gif)
6th September 2004, 01:52 PM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 114
|
|
partypooper,
I can't help you with WA Zipform, but here are a few facts from my Zipform monitoring over the past three years:
1. The top rated (not equal) Zipform horse has a strike rate of 21%;
2. The strike rate improves with horses having a 57 or greater Zipform rating;
3. The ratings are more reliable when the Zipform spread is greater than 7 (i.e. top rated 57, bottom rated 49);
4. 79% of all winners are rated within four points of the top rated horse;
5. Generally four points covers the top 6 rated horses.
These statistics are for S/M/B/A Saturday races not including 2YO, Hurdles, Steeples or Adelaide races below Class 6.
I’m a bit of Zipform fan, but do not use it in isolation. Typically, it is heavily weighted to a horse's last start (see Confectioner's rating for last Saturday) and does not account for barrier or jockey ability.
Cheers,
Luckyboy
|