Hi Paul,

I ran a home track test in Axis, and even in my limited data sample I can see where you are coming from, particularly IND horses. But did you notice the performance of a certain age group?

I decided to run this test in my bet selector data, Saturdays only, at least 1 career start, over the period Jan 2008 to Aug 2013:

Bets 3313
Wins 445
Outlay at NSW div: $47147 (proportional staking)
Return at NSW div: $48166
POT: 2.16%

Bears investigating further.