18th June 2004, 07:43 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundaberg
Posts: 20
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Losing Sequence Formula
Number of bets=1/(1-strike rate)n
n= number of losing sequences.
Strike rate is expressed as decimal.
/ means ˇ§divide byˇ¨
How many bets am I likely to have before I experience a losing sequence of 5. Strike rate is 25% (ie 0.25)
Bets=1/(1-0.25)5
=1/(0.75)5
= 1/(0.75x0.75x0.75x0.75x0.75)
=1/0.237
=4.2
ie 4 bets
There is also a formula for the longest losing sequence, but canˇ¦t find it at the moment.
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