Agree with Big Pineapple (sorry Big Orange)

Even if a horse is 30/1 and looks to be double the price it should be, if it isn't in your top 3 picks - it probably ain't going to win.

I tipped County Tyrone for example on Saturday - it was 20/1 in the paper, started at $14. It was my third pick in the race, so it qualified.

Remember good odds doesn't equal value, unless the horse has a realistic chance of placing or winnning.

Most horses which are at long odds deserve to be - the key is to find the horses which DON'T DESERVE TO BE AT LONG ODDS.

Sometimes horses can be 20/1 to 30/1 in the market, when they really should be 10/1 or even as low as 8/1. Identifying these horses is the trick, whether you use Speed ratings or your "Top 6" criteria it doesn't matter as long as you can find these bets you're a happy punter.