The plot thickens...! Brendon I cant argue with your comments on that race won by Shocking and so forth. Trouble is I never buy a newspaper and therefore cant really go back and look at full fields on certains days. I used to religiously buy the Sportsman years ago every friday and toss it on top of all the rest, along with the sunday paper results page. Time and time again I would think of a new brainwave and out would come all the sportsmans again.

Now I just use the net. But having said that I once went through all my bets, looked at various things and the 3kgs rise was the thing that stood out. (along with the 21 days), so I just stick to that. Looking again at last saturdays 24 races, apart from the 2 winners that went up 3kgs, there was another 2 winners that went up 2kgs. All the other 20 winners went up less (or down). So I guess it is just ones comfort zone as to where the cut off point is.

Paul