It will fall over. It is not concocted from past results but it just had a losing week followed by a small profit week. So others can have it now. It was developed by looking for second up winners and then it was realized it may just have a sound principle within so on 11/02/2006 the first week of betting was had after seeing some winners crop up on 04/02/06.

The die by principle is chasing a front runner next start when the first part of the race was run at faster rate than the last 600 metres.

1/ Today’s race must be not more than 1699 metres.

2/ Considered horse must have a winning strike rate of 1 in 6.

3/ Excluding second up horses, considered horse must have been not more than two lengths of winner in one of its last two starts.

4/ Considered horse must be in first 25% of the field at turn at their last start. Ignore first up horses.

5/ The last race must have the first part ran at a faster rate than the last 600 metres.

6/ Today’s race must not have prize money of more than 5/3 times the last race.

7/ Only use track condition to track condition form.

04/02/2006

1.22 DB R1 5 Classy Darcy 3.2l G 1/9-3 C6 1M first 4.20 1.70

1.32 FL R3 7 Biscayne Bay 3.9l G 3/12-8 C6 0.78M first 8.00 2.50

1.42 MP R2 3 Hurricane Gaze 0.1l G 1/11-2 C6 0.75M second 1.50

3.40 MP R5 5 Lamancha 0.8l G 2/14-1 C4 1M first 2.80 1.40

4.20 MP R6 6 Lord Braemar 0.2l G 3/12-2 C6 0.66 unplaced
8 Snipify 0.2l G 2/12-1 C4 0.66M unplaced

4.41 DB R6 13 Mersey Beat 1.8l G 3/14-3 C4 1M second 1.40

5.10 RA R8 10 Pizza 5.1l G 2/11-8 C4 1M first 4.70 2.10


11/02/2006

3.10 RH R5 7 Purple Dane 0.2l G 2/11-2 C4 0.92M third $1.40

5.00 CH R7 5 Identifiable 0.6l G 2/10-2 C4 1.15M unplaced

5.50 RH R9 7 Our Liam 7.7l G 1/14-13 C3 1.35M first 9.00 2.90


18/11/2006

1.00 CH R1 1 Generally 3.4l G 1/10-8 C3 M2 unplaced
3 Lujainator 0.1l G 2/12-1 C4 M1 first 10.30 2.50

1.40 CH R2 2 Terango 5.4l G 1/9-4 C4 1.04 unplaced

4.30 RA R7 3 Flying Pegasus 1.8l 0.6m g C4 2/14-3 first 3.80 1.50

5.40 CH R8 5 Kournerov 19.1l C5 G 1/16-15 2.5M first 17.70 4.40

25/02/2006

12.15 CF R1 3 Leveller 4.6l G 2/8-7 C4 M3.65 unplaced

1.30 CF R3 5 Live in Vain 5.6l C4 2/16-15 2M G first 6.70 2.70

4.02 EF R5 4 Babinda Half 4l c3 1/11-1 G 1.2m second 1.30


04/03/2006


3.40 MP R5 12 Jumaana 3.3l C2 11m 4/16-5 g unplaced

3.50 RH R6 2 Wild Queen 1.5l C3 1m 2/11-2 g first 9.10 2.20

5.30 CF R9 4 Safari Sunbeam 2.1l c4 3.65m 1/8-4 g unplaced


11/03/2006

3.12 EF R4 2 Allegro Spiritoso 3.5l c5 1.2m 1/10-9 g unplaced

3.30 MP R5 2 Molokai's Ladd 1.5l c3 1m 2/10-7 g unplaced

3.40 WF R6 2 Court's in Session 3.3l C3 1m 1/10-6 g unplaced

4 Desert War 1.3l C4 1m 2/10-3 g first 4.50 1.80

4.20 WF R7 5 All Bar One 0.8l C3 1m 1/9-1 g second 2.70

5.05 WF R8 9 Fabiarna 5.7l C4 1m 1/9-8 g unplaced

5.17 EF R7 5 Hard to Catch 1.5l c3 0.8m 1/12-1 g third 3.10

18/03/2006

4.15 AS R2 2 Lyrical Queen 3.0l C3 1/9-1 1m g unplaced

4.30 EF R6 13 Learned Leo 1.5l C5 2/14-3 1.25 g +2 kg unplaced

5.40 RA R9 8 Strada 0.1l C2 1/8-1 0.8m g first 4.10 1.80


Whatever, wet tracks are going to kill it. The only note I have to make it is in WA rarely is the first part run faster than the last. Quite common in QLD.

Put Saturday's selections up. See what happens.

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pipped at the post