5th January 2006, 12:19 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 578
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by KennyVictor
Well we have convincing arguments supporting 50%, 66% and 100% depending on how you read the question, what I would be interested to see now is the rationalle behind the other options offered. Nanook? La Mer? I particularly liked Kenchar's explanation. It surprised me at first but then made me realise that a standard view of statistics is absolutely not essential to being a successful punter. KV
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In my case it was by multiplying 0.5 by 0.5 which gives a result of 0.25, which would be correct other than for the issue of the prior knowledge of knowing that one of the children has already been identified as a girl. |