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-   -   A question on Trends (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31412)

darkydog2002 26th February 2017 01:13 PM

A question on Trends
 
Hi Paul and Michel,

Do you see a trend as to why better Priced horses are now appearing to dominate the first 4 Races.

In the past a FAV bettor would discontinue betting after Race 4.

Has me perplexed?

Cheers,
darky

Every Topic 26th February 2017 04:49 PM

Not sure what you mean by "now appearing" but just ran a quick test of faves under $3 for last year.

all faves
Win SR 40.50% LOT -3.96%
Place SR 71.50% POT 3.97%

first 4 races
Win SR 41.5-60% LOT -3.62%
Place SR 72.80% POT 5.15%

This appears consistent with what we have discussed in here often - the bias in first 4 races.

Just a note...
I looked at one of my faves systems.
In January last year it made a small loss.
In February it broke even and for the rest of the year it made a profit every month.
If one had been standing there in Feb last year and looking back over a couple of months, one could have said that my fave system wasn't working.
Even very successful methods can have quiet times for a month or two.

Hope that helps in some way...
ET

darkydog2002 28th February 2017 11:04 AM

It does and thank you.

Cheers
darky

The Ocho 23rd March 2017 10:36 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Every Topic
Not sure what you mean by "now appearing" but just ran a quick test of faves under $3 for last year.

all faves
Win SR 40.50% LOT -3.96%
Place SR 71.50% POT 3.97%

first 4 races
Win SR 41.5-60% LOT -3.62%
Place SR 72.80% POT 5.15%

This appears consistent with what we have discussed in here often - the bias in first 4 races.

Just a note...
I looked at one of my faves systems.
In January last year it made a small loss.
In February it broke even and for the rest of the year it made a profit every month.
If one had been standing there in Feb last year and looking back over a couple of months, one could have said that my fave system wasn't working.
Even very successful methods can have quiet times for a month or two.

Hope that helps in some way...
ET

Are you saying that place bets on the first fav $3 and under (on the win market) is making a pot? Is that based on Tab or Betfair prices?

The Ocho 23rd May 2017 12:39 PM

Mmmmm, No activity on this section for 2 months now. Have this mob gone out of business?

evajb001 23rd May 2017 04:11 PM

Wasn't even them who answered darky's question lol

The Ocho 23rd May 2017 04:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
Wasn't even them who answered darky's question lol

You're right! Nothing from R2W since 2 January 2017. :eek:
That's nearly 5 months. I know its sometimes pretty quite in here but that's ridiculous!

blackdog1 23rd May 2017 04:50 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
You're right! Nothing from R2W since 2 January 2017. :eek:
That's nearly 5 months. I know its sometimes pretty quite in here but that's ridiculous!
At least they still take your money, according to their website.

darkydog2002 23rd May 2017 05:49 PM

I am another who msses their invaluable input .

Helped me to become a far better punter,

Cheers.
darky

thorns 24th May 2017 11:36 AM

Still post on social media lots, and contribute articles and race analysis for Betfair. Just not on here anymore it seems.

Still in business as well.

Management 25th May 2017 12:39 PM

Ratings2Win update
 
Just for everyone's information, the promotional deal between OZmium (forum owner) and Ratings2Win is being terminated. The commercial return for OZmium has not been sufficient over the past year or so to justify the partnership.

Ratings2Win is still in business and the software is still available, but it won't be promoted on Pro-Punter or the forums.

I've asked a director of Ratings2Win for a url to use in future and I am awaiting a reply.

This forum will be deleted in the coming weeks, so if there are any threads you wish to copy, please do so at your earliest convenience.

The directors of OZmium would like to take this opportunity to wish Ratings2Win all the best in their ongoing commercial endevours.


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