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- - Interesting stats (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31453)

SpeedyBen

28th April 2017 12:29 AM

Interesting stats

I have been running a test to check the performance of horses which shorten a meaningful number of ticks on BF in the last few minutes before a race. That is the only criterion.
It has produced a sharp increase in the hit rate of the fancied horses as follows
Fav wins 41%
2nd fav 24%
3rd fav 18%
4th fav 14%
Each of these groups has made a level stakes profit so far.

thorns

30th April 2017 06:34 AM

Nice work, interesting stats.

I wonder ifs just a bubble at the moment with the results showing profit, or if there is actually something in it long term?

UselessBettor

30th April 2017 08:18 AM

How did it hold up yesterday?

SpeedyBen

1st May 2017 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thorns

Nice work, interesting stats.

I wonder ifs just a bubble at the moment with the results showing profit, or if there is actually something in it long term?

It is regressing to the mean at present.
34%, 21, 11 and 11 resp.
I'm still running it in test and the stats build up quickly.

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