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-   -   The Pat Benatar (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=29878)

TheSchmile 16th March 2015 12:34 PM

The Pat Benatar
 
After a brief sojourn into the dark arts of laying, Schmiley is back with an infallible system that is sure to *make us all rich beyond our wildest dreams!!

RULES
1/ Bet for THE PLACE ONLY
2/ Minimum acceptable price $1.30
3/ 3-5yo horses only
4/ Good up to Soft (5) tracks only
5/ Natural pattern of racing, must settle in first 4 horses
6/ Staking 1, 2.66 // If selection wins, start staking sequence again. If it loses, next bet is 2.66. If 2 losers in a row, wait for winner before starting new sequence.

The theory is we'll minimise long losing runs by waiting for a winner to be struck before betting again.


THE SELECTIONS
15:05 Werribee 4-9 Euchre Star // Sett 2nd/3rd / 3yF

16:45 Armidale 7-1 Another Charger C $2.9/1.48 // Sett 1st // 4yG

17:15 Bathurst 6-8 Pay Zone Princess C $3.25/1.53 // Sett 1st // 3yF

Bank: $3660 (allowing for 20 Outs)

*Actual results may vary from the over-hyped madness inherent in Schmiley's threads.

darkydog2002 16th March 2015 03:31 PM

"Let me at em"

The Ocho 16th March 2015 04:03 PM

I just looked up a list of Pat Benatar greatest hit songs and couldn't work out what the thread referred to.

Love (Racing) is a Battlefield?
Invincible?
All Fired Up?
Little Too Late?
Ooh Ooh Song (as in Oh ho!)?
Hit Me With Your Best Shot?

But then I saw it - You Better Run.

:D :D :D

Good luck with it TS.

evajb001 16th March 2015 05:24 PM

Hi TS,

If I may, where are you getting your settling position from? I assume you mean its predicted settling position is to be in the top 4?

Cheers

Josh

jose 16th March 2015 07:07 PM

A fine start!

TheSchmile 16th March 2015 07:18 PM

A SCHMORGASBORD of winners
 
Hi TheOcho,

I was referring to 'Hit me with your best shot' after my brief foray into laying....as always bud, I LOVE your analysis!!!

Evajb, I just used the formguide based on last start at this distance.

RESULTS
16:45 Armidale 7-1 Another Charger C $2.9/1.48
WON $2.75/1.39

17:15 Bathurst 6-8 Pay Zone Princess C $3.25/1.53
WON $3.27/1.7

TOO SHORT
15:05 Werribee 4-9 Euchre Star WON $1.93/1.12

OUT 2 IN 3 (after commission)
PL +1 S/R 2/2

The Ocho 16th March 2015 09:41 PM

Thanks for that TheSchmile.

Good job today.

TheSchmile 17th March 2015 11:40 AM

No selections today
 
Soft 7 at Taree, Shazza's Bubbles would've almost made the cut, without the soft ground. Apprentice on top though who hasn't won previously. Needs to roll forward as it did 3 starts ago in better company with Thompson aboard. No real pace in the race as far as I can see.

Also looked at Abbreviate in race 6 at Tatura. Bit concerned about the 60 kg's and the $2.25/1.25 opening quote.

Happy to look on today and see what tomorrow brings.

Best of luck to anyone having a play today, yesterday was a rare day. Had two other selections not listed that were midfield/backmarkers and they both got up at $4.8 & $3.

Collective odds $3+$4.8+$1.93+2.75+$3.27=.33x.208x.518x.363x.305
=0.0039% chance of that happening anytime soon.

Thanks Jose and TheOcho for your encouragement!!

TheSchmile 17th March 2015 06:08 PM

A good day to sit back and watch
 
Weight told with Abbreviate prob wants 1600+ plus as well.

Shazza's bubbles needs the hand of an experienced jock and probably needing 1400m. Copped a slight check at the top of the straight but never appeared to be travelling that well under the riding of K. Kirkwood.

Blackbook Abbreviate (1600+) and move on to tomorrow.

Have a lovely evening!

TheSchmile 18th March 2015 01:10 PM

One selection today
 
Sandown
15:45 5-3 Marrakesh - $4/1.75 // Sett 1st/2nd // 3yF
Carries 60 kg's but gets some relief from the apprentice M. Dee that rode her last start into a close second at track & distance.

Have a joyous day won't you one and all!


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