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-   -   NRL FINALS Week 1 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5858)

rabbitz 8th September 2004 06:58 AM

Penrith $1.70
St George $2.10
Broncos $1.55 -4.5=$1.90
Storm $2.40 +4.5=$1.90
Bulldogs $1.16 -14.5=$1.90
Cowboys $5.50 +14.5=$1.90
Roosters $1.10 -18.5=$1.90
Canberra $6.50 +18.5=$1.90
Looks like a licence to print money Bulldogs
Roosters Roll your Own start double
I think you could probably go -11.5 for both all up,Dont know what the dividend would be yet but you would probably be pretty safe
I took them last weekend Roosters 13+ and Bulldogs -9.5 and that turned out to pretty conservative considering one of my other multis had Roosters at -29.5,but one of the other legs let me down
Cheers


goldmember 8th September 2004 04:33 PM

Think those dreaded dragons should win,yesterday reports that T.Pulatula is out and J.Galuvao WILL be ruled out and R.Wesser is in doubt, and with J.Ryles and L.Bailey back for the dragons , rated the DRAGONS $1.70 and the PANTHERS $2.15, the dragons will step up and be too good for panthers.

SAINTS 1-12 $3.50
or
SAINTS 13+ $4.25

BRONCOS too good for STORM
$1.60 win [rated $1.45]

BULLDOGS 13+ $1.72

With R.Wiki,L Davico,S.Woolford out,
ROOSTERS 13+ $1.43

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-08 17:36 ]

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-08 17:37 ]

rabbitz 8th September 2004 05:07 PM

GM Ive got Penrith -3.5 @ $3.50 so I hope your wrong about St George
Cheers
P.S.How, What, Where?

goldmember 8th September 2004 05:13 PM

Rabbs, i dont like the dragons, hated them since 1975 when we flogged them 35-0, but looking at the game i can see them putting in now that the big games are here and this is one time i hope i'm wrong, but i dont think so.

rabbitz 8th September 2004 05:25 PM

38-0
19-4 year before over canterbury
Yeah I know I,m a smarty

sportznut 8th September 2004 08:18 PM

What a pity the NRL still hasn't followed the AFL in changing this finals system. Teams 7 and 8 almost always get knocked out straight away by teams 1 and 2 who go straight through to the prelim finals. The AFL used to use this system but ditched it for their current one which is FAR better. The Cowboys have been celebrating reaching the finals for the first time but they've got almost no chance of making it to week 2.

For what it's worth:
Penrith by 4
Brisbane by 2
Bulldogs by 18
Roosters by 20


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-09-08 21:24 ]

Floydyboy 8th September 2004 08:51 PM

gotta disagree with you there sports Its a money making excercise (8 team final series )which is fair enough even though I dont believe in it . but if you run eighth I really dont believe you deserve a crack at the title 4,5 or 6 max for me

maverick1993 9th September 2004 09:44 AM

The storm look great value to me..will be having a stack on them.
Roosters will walk in ..The Dogs - cowboys game will be a struggle for awhile but then Canterbury will be to strong in the end.
St George seem to grow an extra leg around this time and will beat Penrith.

Storm 1-12
Bulldogs 1-12
Roosters 13+

Ok i'm happy with that and the 4.5 start for Melbourne :smile:




[ This Message was edited by: maverick1993 on 2004-09-09 19:29 ]

moeee 9th September 2004 10:24 AM

Gee this Maverick sure does talk the talk.
Anyone know whether he can walk the walk?

rabbitz 9th September 2004 11:30 AM

Hes good on the ponies thats for sure
I dont know about Afl?nrl?
Took a double
Hungary to beat iceland into Penrith -3.5
Dividend $3.50
Hungary 3 Iceland 2
cheers

goldmember 9th September 2004 03:18 PM

STGEORGE have firmed from $2.15 to $1.95, i wonder if that bloke is chasing his $400,000 he lost on them in 2 weeks ?

moeee 9th September 2004 04:56 PM

So what sport are Hungary so much better than our Reyjakavik cousins?


goldmember 9th September 2004 05:05 PM

H2H, panthers & dragons $2 each on SportsAcumen

maverick1993 9th September 2004 05:39 PM

:smile: I'm full of it really..
I played footy for most of my life so i think i'm an expert.
My only bet aside from a few footy tab bets is a Grand Final double Afl/Nrl
Sydney and Melbourne i put that on a while ago and am not terribly confident.
I do think that Melbourne will beat the Broncos they've been too slack in defence lately..But i know Melbourne rely alot on Scott Hill who i think is a very underated player..'
Will go Melbourne straight out and have a few multis with the other games.
I'm new at this so any advice is welcome.

goldmember 9th September 2004 05:48 PM

Mav, think bris should beat melb this week,as melb's defence leaks a lot of points,but anything can happen on the night, but as far as the premiership goes they are 200/1 to win it,defence wins Grand Finals and the roosters and bulldogs have by far and away the best defences and the others play touch footy, lions/port/swans, take your pick but theres not much value in the doubles now.

moeee 9th September 2004 05:55 PM

Quote:
On 2004-09-09 10:44, maverick1993 wrote:
The storm look great value to me..will be having a stack on them.
Roosters will walk in ..The Dogs - cowboys game will be a struggle for awhile but then Canterbury will be to strong in the end.
St George seem to grow an extra leg around this time and will beat Penrith.
Penrith -12
Dogs -12
Roosters +12
Melbourne -12


The story bit I read and I think I can understand it.But those team names with the mathematical symbols next to them.What do they mean?
And which one is Canterbury and who are represented by the dogs?

goldmember 9th September 2004 05:58 PM

canterbury are the BULLdogs and the points have me a bit puzzled too

maverick1993 9th September 2004 06:18 PM

oops sorry ..have edited my previous post.

goldmember 9th September 2004 06:26 PM

thats better , but you said stgeorge will beat the panthers and you tipped panthers 1-12 ?

maverick1993 9th September 2004 06:30 PM

yep..fixed that...how come Ias only have the 3 games on the board.

goldmember 9th September 2004 06:35 PM

Deleted the wrong game i suppose

goldmember 9th September 2004 06:59 PM

Moeee, i'm not annoyed, every body in league has a team to hate, its a past time, and i've followed the roosters since 1973 and we beat the dragons 38-0 in 1975 and i was a bookie in high school adnd took heaps of 50c bets because every one was on the dragons and i cleaned up, they were the "glamour team".

PENRITH is the PANTHERS and they finished 4th and the DRAGONS finished 5th, but the dragons won both games during the season 44-18 at home and 28-8 at the panthers home ground,and the panthers have 2 players out injured and 2 in doubt. I tipped the dragons before and now the money has come for them and they are at full strength, whats the old saying "GO WITH THE STRENGTH"

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-09 20:02 ]

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-09 20:03 ]

goldmember 9th September 2004 07:25 PM

When betting opened on tuesday at sportstab, the panthers were $1.70 and the dragons $2.15, now they are both at $1.85 each, thats a plunge!

moeee 9th September 2004 08:49 PM

Someones been deleting my posts!
Is it you Goldmember.
You wait!
Is it you Rabbitz.
You wait!
I just wonder who it was?
Anyway I don't care too much.There are a lot of jealous people in the world.


rarebitz 9th September 2004 08:54 PM

Quote:
On 2004-09-09 21:49, moeee wrote:
Someones been deleting my posts!
Is it you Goldmember.
You wait!
Is it you Rabbitz.
You wait!
I just wonder who it was?
Anyway I don't care too much.There are a lot of jealous people in the world.


Wasn't me.
Anyway, what's this got to do with gambling?

moeee 9th September 2004 08:59 PM

Well thank you,Goldmember,for the reply to the questions that I posed but some clever dick decided to delete.
I don't want to go against your logic so I'm staying out of the penrith game.
And by the way everybody!.That Maverick is a gun.
When he says jump now,it'd be in your interests to heed his advice.
This'll do me.
Bulldogs s/o
Storm s/o
Roosters -3 points
All-up

P.s.That Maverick was shocking at his one and only venture into harness tipping.Hope it's not a case of Dejavu in NFL(or whatever it's called) rearing its head to bite me on the bum.
Might make it a small bet,to be safe.

maverick1993 9th September 2004 09:01 PM

For the dragons to firm in so much is that like someone plonking a few hunded thousand on ?..has there been any injury anouncements ?hmmm or there could be soon.
makes me feel safer about backing them now :smile:

mug punta 9th September 2004 10:00 PM

Looks a good weekend of NRL punting.
I like Penrith because I think they are just off the best 2 teams. It is worrying though the avalanche of money for st.george.
My agent has them $1.72 after you could procure $2.20 on wed.
Roosters and Bulldogs should smash their opposition and ive backed those 3 teams straight out and at their respective lines.
Not touching the Broncos-Storm game. Both sides are just ok and I'll stay out.

goldmember 10th September 2004 08:45 AM

Mav, on tuesday it was announced that T. Pulatula was out and J.Galuvao and R.Wesser were in grave doubt, then F.Pritchard came out and officially Galuvao came out with L.Lewis,Wesser will play.

Missing forwards from their Grand Final team:

S.Sattler - w/tigers
T. Pulatula - injured
J.Galuvao - injured
L.Swain - injured
B.Ross - suspended

They look a bit thin up front and the saints have 2 australian forwards back in their side J.Ryles and L.Bailey and theres a tip that M.Gasnier could come back in,therefore their strongest team of the year.

goldmember 10th September 2004 08:51 AM

I didnt know that someone else could delete your own posts,that seems odd,wasnt me, and i dont know why anyone would want to do something like that,seems CHILDISH !

goldmember 10th September 2004 08:55 AM

Tthis morning on radio G.Munsie of sportstab said there has been $200,00 on the dragons to win +hcp and about $10,000 on the panthers, and around $300,000 on the roosters to win + hcp.

goldmember 10th September 2004 09:04 AM

Rumour is that S.Kearney and K.Reynoldson are in extreme doubt for the storm against the broncos on saturday night, and if thats the case then the storm might as well go to Albion Park trots or the casino instead of facing the broncos,who have D.Lockyer,S.Berrigan and T.Carroll back in their side,also theres a whisper that G.Toupo [scored 2 trys on debut against the panthers]could replace S.Minto, looks more like a puff of wind than a storm ?

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-09-10 10:09 ]

goldmember 10th September 2004 09:59 AM

M P,only a few options this week:

BULLDOGS TRY $1.72
ROOSTERS TRY $1.60

STGEORGE WIN $1.85
BRONCOS WIN $1.60
ROOSTERS 13+ $1.40
BULLDOGS 13+ $1.70

STGEORGE/PANTHERS over 47.5 pts $1.85
BULLDOGS/COWBOYS over 48.5 pts $1.85

A.MINICHIELLO most trys[c.schifcofske]$2.40
M.UTAI most trys [m.sing] $2.60
B.SLATER most trys [k.hunt] $3.40

mug punta 10th September 2004 11:01 AM

Thanks GM. I will back both the overs in those games and the first try options.


Floydyboy 10th September 2004 07:35 PM

be some heavy fondling of the worry beads out there from the big hitters

rabbitz 11th September 2004 05:33 AM

Now you would think being 24-0 up that -3.5 looked pretty safe,but no!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Pretty poor defence from both sides
Penrith got the bikkies,Rabbitz got egg on his face
Oh no not EGGS
One multi left Essendon -8.5
Roosters 13+
Now there has been a bit of talk about the Cats putting their hands up,we shall see
Go the bumblers
Cheers

[ This Message was edited by: rabbitz on 2004-09-11 06:33 ]

sportznut 11th September 2004 06:03 AM

Had two bets last night. As well as my standard system bet on St Kilda with the start (why were Sydney favourites in Melbourne?), I took a small double on Penrith/St Kilda. After about 15 minutes of the League, I thought I had one half of the double wrapped up.

Now, here's the big problem with this ridiculous NRL finals system. Such a brilliant, exciting game of Football last night and it basically means NOTHING! If as expected the Roosters and Bulldogs both win their matches, then there was no real advantage in Penrith winning last night. And unless 2 teams out of Melbourne, NQld and Canberra can win, then there was no disadvantage in St George losing either!

moeee 11th September 2004 08:17 AM

Rabbitz,you dissappointed me.
Was sure you had something on St.Kilda after your write up.Now get in there and put $5 on the Cats to win by over 19 points.
If it loses I'll chuck $5 on your nominated selection.

Sportz.Sydney won by 6 last week,and St.Kilda lost by 14.Many people go by last start form,and that is where the money is to be made.
P.S. Have you been to bed?


sportznut 11th September 2004 08:59 AM

Yeah, got about 4 hours.

When you look at their last start form, Sydney were playing West Coast at home and the Saints were playing Brisbane away. Very different propositions. I thought on overall form throughout the year and on the playing talent on the field, St Kilda should have been the favs. I guess some people jumped off them because it wasn't at the Dome too, but I still thought they'd be much more at home than the Swans.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-09-11 10:02 ]

goldmember 11th September 2004 09:27 AM

Didnt back any teams last night, only bet was saints/panthers game over 47.5 pts, thought there would be around 60 pts scored and took the easy option, sat back and watched all the trys being scored, $1.85 is better than going for one side.


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