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Ratings2Win Recent Winning Highlights
One of the issues that many punters face when making decisions regarding a purchase of ratings or a program is the lack of published results. We at Ratings2Win believe in complete transparency of our results. We believe that anyone that purchases our product has the right to know just what he /she is getting and above all, be able to replicate the results that we post, advertise and report. We offer a 14 day no risk money back guarantee so that our clients can verify our results themselves.
To us it just make good sense to have happy clients. We publish our previous days strike rate and list of winners every day, and have been since our website begun. We call this our Recent Winning Highlights. For those interested we will replicate that information here. The Recent Winning Highlights are intended to showcase our R2W Axis software's ability to consistently land winners, many at good odds in the top 3 positions. Featured are our Intelligence Rating (IR), Speed Ratings (SR), Peak Distance rating (PkD) and Indicators (IND). We also provide the complete daily strike rate from all covered races on the day from IR and SR top pick and top 3 so as to add perspective to the showcased winners. If for instance you see a horse with ‘IR1’ you will know that the horse was a top pick in the Intelligence ratings. Indicators are the only rating that doesn’t have a rank. Watch for horses selected by multiple ratings, these make a great start to systems and methods. As always if you require more information a link at the bottom of this post is available for you to discover more and ask questions. Posted by permission from OZmium Management. |
Saturday 25/05/2013
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26/05/2013
post deleted formatting problem
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cheers mate
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29/05/2013
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Thanks, and you are welcome, all the results go up, the good or the bad. |
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End Of Month MAY Summary
This the end of month summary for the Intelligence Rating (IR) for May 2013 for all TAB Australian Races
Races covered = 1367 Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.4% Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.6% This is the accumulative results for period (5/3/2010 - 31/05/2013) Races covered = 50,800+ Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.9% Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.4% |
01/05/2013
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02/06/2013
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03/06/2013
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Morning Michal.
Interesting to see how many of your selections show consensus on all 4 selection variables / factors i.e. InD + Top 3 in PkD/IR/SR. Also, the variance in dividends for these e.g. $1.50 - $10.00 in your post today. Was it you that said something about a selection being further validated(franked?) when it shows up in several methods? Cheers LG |
Hi LG,
Thanks for noticing that, and you are right, these type of selections are the easiest way to start with a system that isolates the better and more obvious chances in today's races. These same type of selections can be extensively back-tested and then analysed over additional 120 different filters with which to further refine these possible bets. We have up to 12 ratings plus our Indicators available to form these sort of consensus type systems/selection methods with, not just the 4 that we display. Those that lay selections also find this information very handy! There have been several long-shot accidents reported in other threads that would have been easily avoided with our information. However for the purposes of our Recent Winning Highlights (this thread and our web page) these results are raw information. If the ratings make a consensus, then they do so because they just do; we don't pick which ones to showcase. The dividends that are shown for these selections are closing fixed internet bookie prices (tote where unavailable), so as to show a conservative and realistic picture of what can be achieved. Many of the long-shots that we show have prices that are much greater, sometimes double, on Betfair for instance. Kind regards Michal |
04/06/2013
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12.5% and 15%
What you might try is to sort you database results into track condition. Perhaps you may find that your efforts are terrible on wet tracks. Would be better not to suggest anything at all for those conditions should that be the case. |
Hi Moeee,
Thanks for contribution, your comment raises a valid point for several reasons. Firstly A look at the 'terrible wet strike rate' possibility from a total of 51,000+ races.
Secondly Good days and bad days are part and parcel of racing, a knee-jerk-reaction to a single day's result (good or bad) is exactly why most punters loose and why our opposition never show daily results of their ratings (if any at all); we hope that we are dealing with intelligent punters here, our posts and articles aim at educating individuals to be/become effective punters no matter what resources they use. Our clients understand variance, deviation and appreciate the transparency of our results and judge us on their excellent long-term performance! Kind Regards |
Well it seems you have looked at the wet track possibility and it certainly ain't due to that.
Just terrible selections on the day. Perhaps a good idea might be to post the POT beside these Strike rates as you do on the FAVOURITES Thread? THEN it would actually be a meaningful Standard to readers. I myself am achieving 37% Strike rate which is WAY above your efforts , but is actually deceptive as I am in fact losing at LOT -3.9% at TAB Starting Prices. |
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Impressive stats for such a large sample Michal and confirms my opinion that winners can be consistently selected, despite the going. Another myth to put in room 101? What I'm not sure about however is whether the professionals tend to stay away from tracks worse than Dead which I have heard from time to time - perhaps not?! Cheers LG |
Hi Moeee,
Our results shown here are based on every horse race covered by TAB every day over the last 3.5 years and 51,000 races, is that the case with the results that you quoted? Kind Regards |
Goodness me.
I would never have the desire , nor the aloofness to think that I am capable or have the knowledge to rate every single race run. I know which races are most suitable and which ones certainly are not. That is how I form an EDGE. Betting on every single race run blunts that Edge and sounds , with respect , like madness and not Professionalism at all. I choose to stick with my Home State and also only a limited number of races. I have results of about 2 thousand races this year. |
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Hi LG Personally I bet on all track conditions. The questions of whether to bet or not on rain affected tracks is more about each individual circumstance and not a generalisation. As can be said about many of the punting theories that exist, the evidence often does not support them over the long term when considering significant sample size and the expectations of the each horses performance v actual performance. For instance I would much rather support an odds on favourite carrying a big weight on a heavy track than any other track condition assuming that the horse qualifies as a selection from my form assessment. |
Thanks PaulD01, suspected that might be the case and just another example of whispers vrs reality, logic vrs bias etc
Thanks LG |
Yes LG .Quite interesting.
There was some discussion on the forum a long time back where the general consensus was that Good and Heavy TC were most suitable for Fav betting. That seems to have been blown out of the water by Michal and Pauls results. Another very good reason to follow their posts. |
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That is a wise and level headed approach Moeee, however in Post 20, you are comparing our over all rating performance to your system/selection method results, so yes it is deceptive. There is a distinct difference between RATINGS and SELECTIONS. If you want to compare selection methods then use the Favourites Thread that you already mentioned. There the Strike rate is 46.4% with a positive 4.63 POT, which just incidentally is WAY above your results. Quote:
The Strike rate for RATINGS is relevant because it shows the accuracy of the rating to predict the winner on top or in top 3. The higher the accuracy the greater the level of success you can expect with your chosen SELECTIONS and the less fluctuation you will experience. Not only that; developing selection methods based on a solid rating will make it easier to create systems that will continue to work long-term. We are quite proud of the Profit On Turnover results of our ratings and should someone who would want to compare their current commercial ratings performance to ours, want to include POT then we will be more then happy to give that information. Provided the comparison is done on like-for-like long term basis, and not over some fitted sample size or selection method then the POT has some relevance. Of course this last statement is loaded, we are more than aware of our competitors ratings and POT performance. |
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Were I to only post my results for my top selections that started Favourite , I am confident that my results would prove an embarrassment to you. Would you like me to post my results ? |
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Moeee, If you feel like that's what you want to do, then start your own thread and go ahead. What I would like to point out though is the following. Intentional or not, you started this big noting your final selection strike rate against our raw ratings as if they were comparable, so Michal provided you with something to compare that is actually comparable. The raw selection process of the Favourite system has a strike rate of 37% and -1.31 POT (NSW/SP) which is STILL superior to your method, taking the favourites out of the picture. We have no intention to debate a " my-system-is-better-than-your-system" scenario. What makes you think that we are actually using our best ratings/methods to provide FREE ratings/tips? Only NSW has had 2,000 races this year so your statement about betting home state only and limited races and still having 2000 bets this year just doesn't compute. You seem to be vague but confident that your results are better if they are favourite. Should you be making assumptions when making such a statement? We are happy to compare verifiable results, but won't go into comparing stories. The facts are that your results are not verifiable where as ours most definitely are. Finally, your foul mouthed posts across this forum are not only defamatory in nature but make you an embarrassment to yourself and to those that know you. |
My results are these
Strike rate increased to 44% and my Loss increased to -7.7% That was with 1400 qualifying races |
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Moeee There you go, not so embarrassing after all for us and its good to know that most of your races (Greyhounds are around 8 runners). |
if 8 runners make it any easier , then why don't you limit yourself to races with less runners.
I would be surprised if your POT improves. |
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Moeee Strike rate increases to 66% and POT rises to 5%. |
5/6/2013
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Two different appoaches two outcomes. One makes profit the other a loss. I know who i would be listening too
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