OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Ratings2Win Home Track Advantage - Does it exist and can you profit from it?

Page 3 of 4

Show 40 posts from this thread on one page

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)

- Ratings2Win (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=63)

- - Ratings2Win Home Track Advantage - Does it exist and can you profit from it? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26905)

Michal

8th October 2013 07:41 AM

Code:

08/10/2013
No Selections

Michal

9th October 2013 07:54 AM

Code:

09/10/2013
No Selections

Michal

10th October 2013 08:20 AM

Code:

10/10/2013
No Selections

Michal

11th October 2013 09:10 AM

Code:

11/10/2013 
13:08 CANBE 1   3  Miss Espresso        
14:18 CANBE 3   2  Got The Goss
16:50 CANBE 7   2  Mr Fox
22:15 CRANB 8   4  Another Blue Boy

Michal

12th October 2013 08:13 AM

Code:

12/10/2013 
12:54 ALBUR 4   10 Real Calm  
15:22 GOLD  4   11 Meadow Dreamer  
18:05 GOLD  8   4  One To Go 
19:25 CALOU 3   6  Brilliant Rose 
21:20 CALOU 6   2  Sporting Page

Michal

13th October 2013 08:20 AM

Code:

13/10/2013 
No selections

Michal

14th October 2013 08:31 AM

Code:

14/10/2013 
15:40 TAMWT 4   2  Up And Over  
16:28 CALOU 5   8  Hot Chilli Milly 
17:20 WANGA 8   6  Solar Strike

Michal

15th October 2013 09:33 AM

Code:

15/10/2013 
15:08 TVILL 2   7  Jayhawk
15:55 BAIRN 5   2  Pass The Post

Michal

16th October 2013 08:35 AM

Code:

16/10/2013 
12:28 MURRA 1   4  Rocmarr
13:38 MURRA 3   3  Exalted Appeal

Michal

17th October 2013 08:45 AM

Code:

17/10/2013 
13:53 SCONE 2   1  Pro Consul 
14:10 WBOOL 3   2  Here De Siren 
14:37 GOLD  1   8  Favoured One 
15:47 GOLD  3   4  Sunset Showdown 
15:55 WBOOL 6   3  Seuss

Michal

18th October 2013 08:55 AM

Code:

18/10/2013 
14:45 MDURA 4   5  Tesselaar
14:53 KEMBL 1   4  Riebeek 
19:15 CRANB 2   2  Hollywood Gothic
21:15 CRANB 6   12 Pitch Perfect
22:15 CRANB 8   1  Committed

Michal

19th October 2013 09:14 AM

Code:

19/10/2013 
14:12 GOLD  2   2  Rocco In The House  
14:54 ROCKY 1   5  Space Jam 
15:22 GOLD  4   4  Give It Berries 
15:57 GOLD  5   4  Eye Winsome

Michal

20th October 2013 08:37 AM

Code:

20/10/2013 
14:05 CALOU 2   1  General Jackson
17:10 BUNBR 4   4  Eyes Dont Lie

Michal

21st October 2013 08:17 AM

Code:

21/10/2013 
14:45 PAKEN 4   3  Diavel

Michal

22nd October 2013 08:44 AM

Code:

22/10/2013
No selections

Michal

23rd October 2013 08:09 AM

Code:

23/10/2013 
13:43 STRAT 2   1  Count Blevic
14:45 GEELO 5   1  Relentless
17:28 STRAT 8   8  Lady Phoenix

Michal

24th October 2013 08:47 AM

Code:

24/10/2013 
19:45 GLDTO 6   3  Big Clint

Michal

25th October 2013 08:42 AM

Code:

25/10/2013 
13:08 CANBE 1   1  Ready Fora Crownie 
13:43 CANBE 2   1  General Jay Dee  
14:53 CANBE 4   1  Bonzar 
15:03 TAREE 4   1  Parchoise 
15:10 ROCKY 3   1  Hodgie And Mo
15:30 CANBE 5   5  Alluring Belle
17:40 TAREE 8   2  Biscay Sport 
21:37 CALOU 6   6  Novaspur

Michal

26th October 2013 10:08 AM

Code:

26/10/2013 
14:42 GOLD  2   2  Thefifthhole
15:17 GOLD  3   4  Our Zidane    
15:52 GOLD  4   9  Red Diamonds

Michal

27th October 2013 08:19 AM

Code:

27/10/2013 
13:30 CALOU 1   3  Hauser 
14:05 CALOU 2   2  Cliffs Dream 
14:50 BORTW 3   10 Regaeya
15:35 WYONG 5   1  Whispering Gap
17:05 CALOU 7   2  Achievements

Michal

28th October 2013 07:35 AM

Code:

28/10/2013 
14:32 SCONE 3   11 Raweesha
17:02 SCONE 7   3  Double Five

Michal

29th October 2013 08:26 AM

Code:

29/10/2013
No selections

Michal

30th October 2013 08:44 AM

Code:

30/10/2013 
17:20 BENDI 10  1  Churchill Express

Michal

1st November 2013 08:56 AM

Code:

01/11/2013 
18:00 WODON 8   10 Sahara Night

pgra	1st November 2013 07:26 PM

Home track advantage is there for Sat metro its just a case of using the right ratings.For the last 2 years i have had 147 bets for 50% strike 13% pot unitab

PaulD01

2nd November 2013 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgra

Home track advantage is there for Sat metro its just a case of using the right ratings.For the last 2 years i have had 147 bets for 50% strike 13% pot unitab

Hi pgra,

Welcome to the forum. The 13% POT that you have achieved is within the normal range of variance (2 lines of deviation applied) which is -8.1% LOT to 28.1% POT for this number of bets, assuming a strike rate of 50% and a 10% profit edge.

The problems associated with only having 147 bets over a 2 year period is that you could be losing 8.1% on turnover ($1,916 on a $10,000 starting bank). The real question is whether you or anyone could continue to bet after showing a loss at the end of 2 years. These calculations of course assume that you have a 10% edge in the first place which you could not possibly know with such as small sample.

In terms of whether a home track advantage exists within the metropolitan area, the numbers do not support that it does.

Michal

2nd November 2013 08:38 AM

Code:

02/11/2013 
13:45 GOLD  2   2  Cheval Du Feu  
14:42 DUBBO 2   4  Sharky 
15:27 DUBBO 3   9  Speedreader
16:00 GOLD  5   3  Sand Biscuit 
17:37 DUBBO 6   1  Glory Man

PaulD01

2nd November 2013 10:40 AM

October Results for R2W Home Track Advantage

Code:

TEST RESULTS for System - R2W HOME TRACK ADVANTAGE
Date Range   - 01/10/2013 to 31/10/2013   Period of Days - 31
Price Option - Best of SP and NSW

WIN STATISTICS   Value    Bets   Wins   SR      Collect         Avg       POT       Profit          Outs  

                 Races    65     16     24.6%   $68.35          $4.30     5.15%     $3.35           13    
                 Horses   65     16     24.6%   $68.35          $4.30     5.15%     $3.35           NA

Michal

3rd November 2013 09:04 AM

Code:

03/11/2013
15:40 MUSWE 4   5  Crown Of Dreams
17:26 MUSWE 7   3  Binalong Road
18:10 ALBAN 3   2  Mr African
19:20 ALBAN 5   8  Blackwall Reach

Michal

4th November 2013 08:14 AM

Code:

04/11/2013 
17:35 BALLN 8   2  Fast Take

Michal

5th November 2013 08:04 AM

Code:

05/11/2013 
12:23 KEMBL 1   2  Jaykay         
14:08 CANBE 3   10 Rules Point  
15:20 GOLD  2   1  Our Zidane  
15:59 GOLD  3   3  Florida Fellow  
16:05 CANBE 5   12 Sequoia Sunrise 
16:39 GOLD  4   3  Run For Ever 
18:00 GOLD  6   8  Perfect Glory 
20:17 BUNBR 8   2  Angel Wing

All the best in the Cup !

Michal

6th November 2013 10:28 AM

Code:

06/11/2013 
no selections

Michal

7th November 2013 11:05 AM

Code:

07/11/2013 
14:00 WBOOL 3   4  Royal Manner   
14:50 ALBUR 3   2  Scatcat 
16:35 GAWLE 6   8  Sparkling Bella

Michal

8th November 2013 08:36 AM

Code:

08/11/2013 
14:10 SALE  3   2  Chad       
15:08 ROCKY 3   3  Hodgie And Mo 
16:27 ROCKY 5   2  The Shooter 
16:40 SALE  7   4  Prime Ace 
19:45 CRANB 3   9  True Statement 
22:15 CRANB 8   2  Scelto

Michal

9th November 2013 08:25 AM

Code:

09/11/2013 
13:45 GOLD  2   6  Favoured One  
13:55 GEELO 3   4  Platinum Citi  
14:20 GBURN 6   4  Spurlohn  
14:40 GEELO 4   4  Cheeky Rozay 
15:15 GOLD  4   4  Dolphus 
17:30 GOLD  7   3  Euphorbia 
18:05 GOLD  8   5  Eye Winsome 
19:25 CALOU 3   5  For Mia 
20:05 CALOU 4   11 Tuskegee Sunrise

Michal

10th November 2013 09:03 AM

Code:

10/11/2013 
17:50 PINJR 4   9  Lioness

Michal

11th November 2013 08:16 AM

Code:

11/11/2013 
13:18 BALLN 1   2  Vintanagh 
14:45 MORNI 4   4  Frankly Fast

Michal

12th November 2013 11:01 AM

Code:

12/11/2013 
16:28 TVILL 4   3  Jayhawk

Michal

13th November 2013 08:16 AM

Code:

13/11/2013 
13:43 MURRA 2   3  It And A Bit 
14:10 BALLA 3   3  Elrick 
16:00 BALLA 6   5  Samer Drive
17:28 MURRA 8   1  Zoom Lad

Michal

14th November 2013 08:12 AM

Code:

14/11/2013 
16:10 BUNBR 1   14 Low Flying
16:25 ROCKY 5   1  Security Sam

All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:17 AM.

Page 3 of 4

Show 40 posts from this thread on one page