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-   Ratings2Win (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=63)
-   -   Ratings2Win Home Track Advantage - Does it exist and can you profit from it? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26905)

PaulD01 5th September 2013 08:02 AM

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05/09/2013 17:00 WYONG 8 6 Whispering Gap

PaulD01 6th September 2013 07:27 AM

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06/09/2013 13:05 CAIRN 1 6 Bazzas Bid 17:15 WYONG 8 9 I Like The Boy

PaulD01 7th September 2013 07:56 AM

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07/09/2013 12:50 CAIRN 1 2 Dr Pegasus 13:52 GOLD 2 8 Give It Berries 18:50 CALOU 3 2 Brilliant Rose 19:25 CALOU 4 7 Quiet Collect

PaulD01 8th September 2013 08:56 AM

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08/09/2013 15:04 MORUY 4 2 Zuccherina 16:39 KALGL 3 1 Hussars 17:15 KALGL 4 3 The Social Network

PaulD01 9th September 2013 07:00 AM

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09/09/2013 12:40 WBOOL 1 3 Just Junior 15:22 ALBUR 4 2 Win For Wilson

PaulD01 10th September 2013 08:06 AM

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10/09/2013 13:23 KEMBL 2 1 Zaminga 13:47 MUSWE 2 5 Canny Maree 15:15 TVILL 3 2 Zip The Lip 15:50 TVILL 4 7 Jessette 16:28 TVILL 5 4 Zatsacat

PaulD01 11th September 2013 07:31 AM

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11/09/2013 17:30 STRAT 8 4 Dunrossil

PaulD01 12th September 2013 07:21 AM

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12/09/2013 14:03 ROCKY 2 6 Dropper Crystal 14:38 ROCKY 3 1 Mythologist 15:48 ROCKY 5 1 Greedy 16:28 ROCKY 6 1 Passivity

PaulD01 13th September 2013 08:08 AM

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13/09/2013 17:10 BALLN 8 1 Muhaajir

PaulD01 14th September 2013 07:55 AM

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14/09/2013 12:15 GOLD 2 10 Easy To Smile 12:50 GOLD 3 8 Sylvia May 14:05 GOLD 5 3 One To Go 15:25 GOLD 7 5 Sand Biscuit 15:32 TOOIN 4 8 Manak 16:12 TOOIN 5 8 Court Couture 17:37 CARNV 5 4 Aytozed 18:52 CARNV 7 1 In Plain Sight

PaulD01 15th September 2013 07:50 AM

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15/09/2013 13:20 CALOU 2 1 Beautrix 14:30 CALOU 4 2 Indubious 15:16 DUBBO 5 1 Criminal Mind 15:50 CASTE 7 6 Lil Bit Musky 15:54 DUBBO 6 5 Ten To Zero 16:42 KALGL 3 10 Prince Of Stars

PaulD01 16th September 2013 06:58 AM

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16/09/2013 15:17 NOWRA 4 2 Kordanoro

PaulD01 17th September 2013 07:03 AM

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17/09/2013 No selections for today

PaulD01 18th September 2013 07:11 AM

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18/09/2013 No selections for today

PaulD01 20th September 2013 08:43 AM

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20/09/2013 No selections for today.

PaulD01 21st September 2013 08:09 AM

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21/09/2013 13:30 GOLD 2 10 Grandkids Rock 16:10 GOLD 6 4 Powerful Jet 16:50 GOLD 7 1 Novikov 18:00 KALGL 6 7 Quadroplex 19:20 KALGL 8 6 Prince Of Stars

PaulD01 22nd September 2013 08:06 AM

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22/09/2013 14:00 QUEAN 3 2 Mcgovern

PaulD01 23rd September 2013 07:56 AM

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23/09/2013 14:53 MUSWE 3 8 Flirtatious Glow

PaulD01 24th September 2013 07:40 AM

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24/09/2013 No selections today

Michal 25th September 2013 08:08 AM

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25/09/2013 15:03 MURRA 4 3 Mystery Tour

PaulD01 26th September 2013 08:06 AM

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26/09/2013 17:23 ROCKY 6 4 Head High

Raven 26th September 2013 04:17 PM

Hi Paul,

I ran a home track test in Axis, and even in my limited data sample I can see where you are coming from, particularly IND horses. But did you notice the performance of a certain age group?

I decided to run this test in my bet selector data, Saturdays only, at least 1 career start, over the period Jan 2008 to Aug 2013:

Bets 3313
Wins 445
Outlay at NSW div: $47147 (proportional staking)
Return at NSW div: $48166
POT: 2.16%

Bears investigating further.

PaulD01 26th September 2013 04:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
Hi Paul,

I ran a home track test in Axis, and even in my limited data sample I can see where you are coming from, particularly IND horses. But did you notice the performance of a certain age group?


Hi Raven

Yes having the ability to run system tests using the R2W propriety indicators is a valuable asset. For Axis users its easy however for anyone considering the product, one only has to go as far as our Recent Winning Highlights thread or our website to see how these perform. Indicators as you may not be aware are a group of horses that win around 52% of all races. They have an uncanny knack of landing longer priced winners even in the metro area.

Yes I did notice the performance of all age groups. There are many ways to improve the native results of this system including using our unique jockey ratings ad LWD ranks as you can see from the results.

For those wanting a better understanding of what our unique features are just click on the link below.

http://www.ratings2win.com.au/Downl...acteristics.pdf

Allowing for results up to the yesterday, the profit on a $10,000 bank betting proportionally on all the selections in the system has delivered a massive $20,505 profit. Of course that is only using SP/NSW tote which can obviously be easily bettered.

For those interested I have can forward the betting analysis. Send me an email paul@ratings2win.com.au

In terms of the Bet Selector results that you detail, obviously these are not based on the same system criteria, as Bet Selector is not capable of testing variables unique to R2W. I do grant however that perhaps the base theory of what I alluded to in the first post of this thread even in Bet Selector could be exploited albeit nowhere near the extent of what we provide for.

Thanks for taking the time to comment.

PaulD01 27th September 2013 08:03 AM

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27/09/2013 12:58 CANBE 1 4 Got The Goss 14:08 CANBE 3 8 Alluring Belle 15:55 CANBE 6 4 Fullerton 17:05 GEESY 8 2 Jordan

PaulD01 28th September 2013 07:55 AM

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28/09/2013 12:35 MORNI 1 4 Pearl Heart 15:05 GOLD 5 1 Quick Witted 16:25 GOLD 7 1 Rock Lane

PaulD01 29th September 2013 09:00 AM

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29/09/2013 13:32 CALOU 2 2 It Wasnt Me 15:52 CALOU 6 2 Sequaliscious 16:30 CALOU 7 1 Auguste

PaulD01 1st October 2013 08:17 AM

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01/10/2013 No selections today

Michal 1st October 2013 10:42 AM

End of Month Summary
 
After 2 months of running the strike is 18.4% with a POT -33%

There is no hiding from the fact that currently this system is performing below par. With many a selection running second at the odds we need. That's punting.

darkydog2002 1st October 2013 01:40 PM

Yeah.Wondering when you were going to get rid of it.
It wasnt doing you any favors by running it.

Mind you the Extermxxxxxxx is even worse.

PaulD01 1st October 2013 03:21 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Yeah.Wondering when you were going to get rid of it.
It wasnt doing you any favors by running it.

Mind you the Extermxxxxxxx is even worse.


Hi darky

We are not getting rid of it, simply reporting the last two months results which are short term by nature.

Overall this strategy has still delivered a longer term strike rate of 27.8% and POT of 12.12% SP/NSW tote. This includes the impact of the last two months of draw-down. Those that derive a living from punting experience draw-down 85-95% of the year (between 310-347 days). So as to remove any doubt draw-down is simply a point at which you are somewhere below a previous bank high.

Michal 1st October 2013 04:24 PM

Hi Darky,

As Paul pointed out, its only 2 months, while the results are against us, we report that just the same as a profitable system. Often clients tell us that one of their reasons for going with us is the fact that we report things completely as they are; EVEN and especially, when something is not doing us any favors as opposed to only when things are going well.

It makes it hard to compete at times as it seams that we are the only company that is having bad runs LOL. That illusion usually lasts just after they buy the other 'invincible' stuff and see the truth, the holes and the real results; by then its too late! That is why those that have been around the block appreciate us, because they can form their opinion without guess work and incomplete results reporting.

Still thanks for caring to make that comment.

Michal

Michal 2nd October 2013 04:49 PM

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02/10/2013 15:55 BALLA 6 1 Quick Shakes


I put this up too late here. First decent winner in a few weeks. At least I didn't forget to have it on our website where it was up since 9.30 am not that anyone would be looking now , right ? :) Hopefully by tomorrow I'll be back into the grove of things!

Michal 3rd October 2013 08:06 AM

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03/10/2013 13:18 WYONG 1 4 Jack The Ringer 15:38 WYONG 5 4 Misaquilina 16:48 WYONG 7 1 Power Shot

Lord Greystoke 3rd October 2013 09:35 AM

Morning Michal,
I note that just 2 filters added here make somewhat of a difference to the return (not tested with a database however!)

LG

PaulD01 3rd October 2013 07:16 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Morning Michal,
I note that just 2 filters added here make somewhat of a difference to the return (not tested with a database however!)

LG


Hi LG

Can you provide me with your email please as I would like to send you something re your post.

Lord Greystoke 3rd October 2013 07:47 PM

lord
greystoke
3rd
gmail
com

Cheers LG

Michal 4th October 2013 09:11 AM

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04/10/2013 16:05 GRAFT 6 12 Sanawaat 17:15 HAMIL 8 2 Sir Tully

Michal 5th October 2013 09:24 AM

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05/10/2013 14:20 GOLD 4 1 Hypothesis 20:12 CALOU 5 1 General Jackson

Michal 6th October 2013 08:47 AM

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06/10/2013 12:10 BENLL 1 13 Speedastro 13:10 BALLN 1 3 Fast Take 13:45 BALLN 2 12 Myboymaurie

Michal 7th October 2013 08:10 AM

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07/10/2013 No selections


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