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End Of Month MAY Summary
This the end of month summary for the Intelligence Rating (IR) for May 2013 for all TAB Australian Races
Races covered = 1367 Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.4% Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.6% This is the accumulative results for period (5/3/2010 - 31/05/2013) Races covered = 50,800+ Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.9% Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.4% |
01/05/2013
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02/06/2013
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03/06/2013
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Morning Michal.
Interesting to see how many of your selections show consensus on all 4 selection variables / factors i.e. InD + Top 3 in PkD/IR/SR. Also, the variance in dividends for these e.g. $1.50 - $10.00 in your post today. Was it you that said something about a selection being further validated(franked?) when it shows up in several methods? Cheers LG |
Hi LG,
Thanks for noticing that, and you are right, these type of selections are the easiest way to start with a system that isolates the better and more obvious chances in today's races. These same type of selections can be extensively back-tested and then analysed over additional 120 different filters with which to further refine these possible bets. We have up to 12 ratings plus our Indicators available to form these sort of consensus type systems/selection methods with, not just the 4 that we display. Those that lay selections also find this information very handy! There have been several long-shot accidents reported in other threads that would have been easily avoided with our information. However for the purposes of our Recent Winning Highlights (this thread and our web page) these results are raw information. If the ratings make a consensus, then they do so because they just do; we don't pick which ones to showcase. The dividends that are shown for these selections are closing fixed internet bookie prices (tote where unavailable), so as to show a conservative and realistic picture of what can be achieved. Many of the long-shots that we show have prices that are much greater, sometimes double, on Betfair for instance. Kind regards Michal |
04/06/2013
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12.5% and 15%
What you might try is to sort you database results into track condition. Perhaps you may find that your efforts are terrible on wet tracks. Would be better not to suggest anything at all for those conditions should that be the case. |
Hi Moeee,
Thanks for contribution, your comment raises a valid point for several reasons. Firstly A look at the 'terrible wet strike rate' possibility from a total of 51,000+ races.
Secondly Good days and bad days are part and parcel of racing, a knee-jerk-reaction to a single day's result (good or bad) is exactly why most punters loose and why our opposition never show daily results of their ratings (if any at all); we hope that we are dealing with intelligent punters here, our posts and articles aim at educating individuals to be/become effective punters no matter what resources they use. Our clients understand variance, deviation and appreciate the transparency of our results and judge us on their excellent long-term performance! Kind Regards |
Well it seems you have looked at the wet track possibility and it certainly ain't due to that.
Just terrible selections on the day. Perhaps a good idea might be to post the POT beside these Strike rates as you do on the FAVOURITES Thread? THEN it would actually be a meaningful Standard to readers. I myself am achieving 37% Strike rate which is WAY above your efforts , but is actually deceptive as I am in fact losing at LOT -3.9% at TAB Starting Prices. |
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